Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Jamie Dupree's Washington Insider: Santorum Looks for Momentum

After winning three of ten Super Tuesday states, but narrowly losing to Mitt Romney in Ohio, Rick Santorum will try to generate some new momentum on Saturday in Kansas with GOP Presidential caucuses in that state.

40 delegates are at stake in the Sunflower State - 12 delegates are handed out 'winner take all' in the four congressional districts in Kansas; three to the winner in each district.

28 delegates are divided up proportionally based on the statewide results; 20% of the vote is the threshold to qualify for that batch of delegates.

Santorum has done well in states near Kansas - he easily won Oklahoma last Tuesday and he had a big non-binding win in next door Missouri - and the state's brand of conservative Republican politics should play well for Santorum.

Ron Paul has been the only other candidate to visit Kansas in recent days, as both Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich skipped the state; Romney never made any plans to go while Gingrich set up and then cancelled two days of events.

Gingrich will be working Alabama and Mississippi for the next few days until the Tuesday primaries in those southern states; Romney is taking some down time this weekend.

As for Gingrich, earlier in the week his aides indicated Alabama and Mississippi were a last stand in this race; win and he stays in, lose and he goes home.

But now that's changed.

"I think there's a fair chance we'll win," Gingrich told the Associated Press, adding, "I just want to set this to rest once and for all. We're going to Tampa."

New polls in Alabama and Mississippi didn't offer much conclusive evidence on where the races are going.

In Alabama, a Rasmussen poll showed a dead heat, with Gingrich at 30%, Santorum behind by one point and Romney just one back of Santorum in third.

There were differing polls in Mississippi: one showed Gingrich ahead of Romney by 4 points, another had Romney up on Santorum and Gingrich by 8 points.

There has been no polling in Kansas since last November when several polls showed Romney with the advantage over the GOP field.

If he wins the Sunflower State without showing up, that might be a telltale sign about the GOP race.

Source: http://www.krmg.com/weblogs/jamie-dupree/2012/mar/09/santorum-looks-momentum/

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